1、,单击此处编辑母版标题样式,单击此处编辑母版文本样式,第二级,第三级,第四级,第五级,本幻灯片资料仅供参考,不能作为科学依据,如有不当之处,请参考专业资料。谢谢,单击此处编辑母版标题样式,单击此处编辑母版文本样式,第二级,第三级,第四级,第五级,本幻灯片资料仅供参考,不能作为科学依据,如有不当之处,请参考专业资料。谢谢,Talking point,Warming u,p,Skimming,Digging,Critical thinking,Language in use,Unfamiliar words,Interpreting,Can bad luck be explained?,第1页,W
2、arming up,Read the reflections made by great scientists through the ages.,Then work in pairs and explain what the quotations mean.,1,This only is certain,that there is nothing certain.,Pliny the Elder,1st-century Roman naturalist,The only thing we know is definitely true is that we are not sure abou
3、t anything.Pliny is taking a position of scepticism.,第2页,Warming up,2,Experimental science is the queen of sciences and the goal of all speculation.,Roger Bacon,13th-century English philosopher and scientist,Bacon lived at a time when people thought it more important to reason and approach problems
4、through theory and logic than through experiment.Bacon is,daringly turning this around and announcing that finding out the facts is far more important than theorizing.,第3页,Warming up,3,I do not know what I may appear to the world;but to myself I seem to have been only like a boy playing on the seash
5、ore,and diverting myself in now and then finding a smoother pebble or a prettier shell than ordinary,whilst the great ocean of truth lay all undiscovered before me.,Sir Isaac Newton,17th-century English physicist and mathematician,who discovered the laws of gravity,Newton is acclaimed as a great gen
6、ius who has opened up understanding of nature,but he humbly points out how very little he does actually know especially when compared with all that there is to know.Newton was very religious as well as a great mathematician so he would have been referring to great mysteries as well as understanding
7、of the cosmos.,第4页,Warming up,4,The most incomprehensible thing about our universe is that it can be comprehended.,Albert Einstein,perhaps the greatest scientist the world has ever known,Einstein thinks that the greatest wonder is that the universe does operate on mathematical laws which one of its
8、by-products us can understand a little.,第5页,Warming up,Work in pairs and discuss the questions.,1 How would you define science?,Science is the study and knowledge of the physical world and its behaviour that is based on experiments and facts that can be proved,and is organized into a system.,第6页,War
9、ming up,2 Should science be a compulsory subject until the last year at school?,Yes,it is so important to our modern world.It is also a way of thinking that we need to develop in people.,I am not sure everyone needs to know so much science.Different people have different skills;perhaps some could sp
10、end more time on arts subjects.,第7页,Warming up,3 In what areas of contemporary life is scientific research most important?,Frankly,it is important for almost everything:medicine,developing new energy sources,dealing with pollution,new materials,agriculture,information technology,transport,defence,an
11、d even more.,第8页,Warming up,4 Is some scientific research useless?,Yes and no it may not have any use at the time it is carried out,but it is surprising how things can later turn out to be useful.The research joins the great database of human knowledge and may one day prove valuable.,第9页,Warming up,
12、Look at the title of the passage and answer the,questions.,1 Is it possible to define bad luck?,Bad luck refers to things happening in ways you do,not want.An event in itself is not bad luck,but bad,luck to someone.My losing money may be someone,elses good luck.,2 Does bad luck lead to more bad luck
13、?,I guess it can.Once you have lost your job,your,family may break up and you might fall ill from,stress and so on downwards.,第10页,Warming up,3 Is bad luck more common than good luck?,It certainly feels like it at times,but I guess if missing the bus is bad luck,catching it is good luck.But I think
14、we regard things going smoothly as normal so we dont call it good luck.We have a higher standard for good than bad luck.,4 Can bad luck be explained by science?,I dont really see how.Theres no reason why one,person takes a plane that crashes,and someone,else takes another and is safe.,第11页,Skimming,
15、Browse the passage within,8,minutes to get a rough idea about it.,Answer the questions,of Activity,2,and,3,on page,147,.,Task,第12页,Skimming,Choose the best way to complete the sentences.,1 Murphys Law is _.,(a)a popular belief,(b)a scientific law,(c)a classical theory,(d)a statistical calculation,2
16、Bad luck _.,(a)can be explained by science,(b)can be partly blamed on strange coincidences,(c)only really exists in peoples minds,(d)is impossible to explain,a,b,第13页,Skimming,3“Bad luck”is a problematic concept because _.,(a)it is relative;some things are more“bad”than others,(b)it suggests a conne
17、ction between science and morality,(c)luck cant by definition be“good”or“bad”,(d)it encourages people not to take responsibility for their own actions,a,第14页,Skimming,4 Unlucky events seem to come in threes because _.,(a)three is an unlucky number in most cultures,(b)the mind wants to make a connect
18、ion between events,(c)we dont notice single unlucky events,(d)we cant remember more than three connected events,b,第15页,Skimming,5 For some people,unlucky events are connected because _.,(a)they are psychologically weaker than other people,(b)they have better memories than other people,(c)they define
19、 bad luck differently from other people,(d)the first unlucky event has an effect on them which,makes the second event more likely,d,第16页,Skimming,6 The writer says map reading is frustrating because _.,(a)the destination will often be marked very near the edge of the map,(b)it is difficult to consul
20、t a street atlas when you are in a car,(c)the destination is unlikely to be in the middle of,the map,(d)modern road maps have not been well designed,a,第17页,Skimming,7 The writer says we believe the traffic lights are always red when were in a hurry because _.,(a)traffic lights spend more time on red
21、 than on green,(b)we hardly notice when the lights are green,(c)red lights are a source of stress,(d)red lights appear more often when a driver is in a hurry,b,第18页,Skimming,8 The examples of map reading and traffic lights show that _.,(a)we are often too ready to interpret an event as“bad”,(b)if we
22、 are in a hurry,something bad will usually happen,(c)journeys need to be carefully planned so that things will not go wrong,(d)bad luck is a direct result of stress and anxiety,a,第19页,Skimming,Work in pairs and match the examples with the types of events.,1 a burst water pipe,2 a train which is late
23、,3 buses which arrive three at a time,4 losing your wedding ring,5 dropping a vase,(a)something which might happen because you are feeling depressed or unwell,(b)an extremely memorable and unfortunate event,(c)the sort of event which confirms the“bad luck theory”,(d)a strange coincidence which many
24、people claim to notice,(e)an event which could be bad or not bad,depending on the context,b,e,d,c,a,第20页,Can bad luck be explained?,译文,Digging,Background information,1,Toast always lands butter side down.,It always rains on,bank holidays,.You never win the lottery,but other people you know seem to.D
25、o you ever get the impression that you were born unlucky?Even the most rational person can be convinced at times,that there is a force out,there making mishaps occur at the worst possible time.We all like to believe that Murphys Law is true(“if it can go wrong,it will”).,第21页,Digging,2,Part of the e
26、xplanation for bad luck is mathematical,but part is psychological,.Indeed there is a very close connection between peoples perception of bad luck and interesting coincidences.,第22页,译文,Digging,3,For example,take the belief that“bad things always happen in threes”(just like buses.!)This popular notion
27、 would be unlikely to stand the,scrutiny,of any scientific study,but it must have some basis in experience,otherwise the phrase would never have arisen in the first place.What might be the rational explanation?,第23页,译文,Digging,4,The first question is“what is bad?”,5,Some things are only marginally b
28、ad,for example the train arriving five minutes late.Some are extremely bad,such as failing an exam or being sacked.,So badness is much better represented as being on a spectrum rather than something which is there or not there,.,第24页,译文,Digging,6,A particular event may only be a misfortune because o
29、f the circumstances around it.The train arriving five minutes late is a neutral event if you are in no hurry and reading an interesting newspaper article while you wait.It is bad if you are late for an important meeting.,第25页,译文,Digging,7,When it comes to bad things happening in threes,what may be m
30、ost important of all is the,duration,and memorability of the first event,.Take a burst pipe while you are away on holiday,for example.It may take less than an hour to flood the house,but this one bad event can remain,alive and kicking,for many months,with the cleaning up operation and the debate wit
31、h your insurers acting as constant reminders of the original event.,第26页,译文,Digging,8,The longer the first bad event sticks in the front of your mind,the more opportunities you will have to experience two more bad events,.A month later someone bumps the back of your car and a week after that you los
32、e your wedding ring.The mind which is already on a low from the first event will quickly leap to connect the,subsequent,misfortunes as part of the series.It wouldnt matter that there could be a two-month timescale over which everything happened.By the time you have recovered from the water damage yo
33、u are actively looking out for the next disaster.,The timescale has been extended as long as is necessary to confirm the original prophecy,.,第27页,译文,Digging,9,As with coincidences,in bad luck there is a,tendency,to look for the examples which confirm the theory,and,ignore,those which dont(because th
34、ey are less interesting).Single bad events happen all the time.That alone should be enough to disprove the theory.Bad things also come in twos.But it is more likely that a friend will tell you“three bad things have,happened to me,isnt that typical”than“only two bad things have happened to me,which j
35、ust proves that the theory doesnt work”.,After all,the,latter,is,tempting,fate!,第28页,译文,Digging,10,There is,however,at least one rational reason why bad events might cluster together.,It is related to probability and independence.,Unlucky events are not always independent of each other.Anybody who i
36、s made redundant is bound to suffer some depression.That will lower the bodys defences,making the person vulnerable to illness,and also making them less,alert,and responsive(so they may be more likely to drop a precious vase,for example).So while the probability of being made redundant on any partic
37、ular day and the probability of being sick may both be small,the chance of both occurring is almost certainly higher than the product of the two probabilities.,第29页,译文,Digging,Map reading misfortunes,11,So much for the general incidents of bad luck,which,crop up,in life,.Lets get on to a specific,on
38、e that everyone has encountered.,第30页,译文,Digging,12,You are off to visit a friend who lives at the other end of the city.You look up the road in the street atlas,and discover that it is right on the edge of the page.This means that finding precise route becomes a chore of,flicking,backwards and forw
39、ards,from one page to the next.Either the road is half on one page and half on the other,or its spread across the fold in the middle of the book.And if its an,ordnance survey map,then your destination is at just the point where you folded the map over.,第31页,译文,Digging,13,It doesnt seem fair.After al
40、l a map only has a tiny bit of“edge”but plenty of“middle”in which your destination could be situated.,Or has it?,In fact the chance of picking a destination which is close to the edge of the map is a lot higher than you might expect.Take a look at the map in the diagram.,第32页,译文,Digging,14,You will
41、have a problem if your destination is anywhere in the shaded area marked on the map.This shaded area is just 1 cm into the page all the way around.It looks insignificant.However,the shaded area adds up to 56 cm2.That represents 28 per cent of the area of the whole page of the map,which means that an
42、y specific point that you are seeking on this map has a 28 per cent chance(thats nearly one in three)of being in an awkward position within 1 cm of the edge of the page.And if you regard within 2 cm of the edge of the page as being awkward,the chance of ill-fortune climbs to 52 per cent.In other wor
43、ds,you might expect this misfortune to occur on almost every other journey.,第33页,译文,Digging,15,As in most bad luck stories,you forget about the number of times the road doesnt land awkwardly and remember the times it does,and in this case the chance of a bad result is so high that before long you ar
44、e bound to be cursing your misfortune,or the maps printer,or both.This,incidentally,is why many modern road maps allow significant,overlaps,between adjacent map pages.In a good road atlas,at least 30 per cent of the page is duplicated elsewhere.,第34页,译文,Digging,The lights are always red when Im in a
45、 hurry,16,One of the best examples of,selective memory,where,an unfair comparison is made between good and bad,is in the relative frequency of red and green lights on a journey.For once,the perception of“I always seem to get red lights,when Im in a hurry”is true and verifiable.To simplify the situat
46、ion,think of a traffic light as being like tossing a coin,with a 50 per cent chance of being red,and 50 per cent of being green.(In fact most traffic lights spend more time on red.)If you encounter six traffic lights on a journey,then you are no more likely to escape a red light than you are to toss
47、 six consecutive heads,the chance of which is 1 in 64.,第35页,译文,Digging,17,Red lights come up just as often when the driver is not in a hurry;its just that the,disadvantage,of the red light is considerably less if time is not critical.The false part of the,perception is that red lights happen more th
48、an green lights.The reason for this is simply that a driver has more time to think about a red light than a green light,because while the latter is gone in seconds and indeed is an experience no different from just driving along the open road the red light forces a change of behaviour,a moment of ex
49、ertion and stress,and then a deprivation of freedom for a minute or so.Red lights stick in the mind,while green lights are,instantly forgotten.,Main idea of the text,第36页,1.,Toast always lands butter side down.,(Line 1,Para 1),The messy buttered side will hit the floor.The sentence means the worst o
50、f two options always happens.,Difficult sentences,第37页,Difficult sentences,2.,that there is a force out there making mishaps occur at the worst possible time.,(Line 7,Para 1),“There is force out there”here means there is some power in existence,like an evil spirit.,第38页,Difficult sentences,3.,Part o
©2010-2024 宁波自信网络信息技术有限公司 版权所有
客服电话:4008-655-100 投诉/维权电话:4009-655-100