贸易竞争力评价指标(课堂PPT).ppt

单击此处编辑母版标题样式,单击此处编辑母版文本样式,第二级,第三级,第四级,第五级,*,*,贸易竞争力的评价,几种常见的贸易竞争力评价指数,1,竞争力,2,一、,市场占有率,市场渗透率,出口贡献率,出口增长优势指数,二、,净出口,（贸易盈余）,贸易竞争力指数,产品质量升级指数,三、出口所占比例,显示性比较优势指数,显示性竞争优势指数,（,国际竞争力评价的理论和方法研究,_,张金昌,）,以进出口为基础的国际竞争力评价指标,3,RCA,是指一国某种商品的出口值占该国所有商品出口总值的份额与世界该商品的出口值占世界所有商品出口总值的份额的比率，即：,其中，,X,ij,表示,i,国,j,种产品的出口值；,X,it,代表,i,国所有商品的出口总值；,Xwj,代表世界,j,种产品的出口值；,Xwt,代表世界所有商品的出口总值。,一般而言，如果,RCA,ij,1,，表明,i,国,j,产品比起其已出口商品占有更大的市场份额，,i,国在,j,种产品的生产上具有显示比较优势，反之则没有明显比较优势。,日本贸易振兴协会的划分：更详细,1.,显示性比较优势指数（,Revealed Comparative Advantage,，,RCA,）,0.8,1.25,2.5,强,次强,中等,弱,4,Year,CX,87,CX,all,WX,87,WX,all,CRCA,87,2000,$4,536.38,$249202.55,$554,163,$6,356,558.00,0.2088,2001,$4,777.14,$266,098.21,$550,714,$6,117,842.00,0.1994,2002,$5,792.86,$325,595.97,$583,946,$6,409,332.00,0.1953,2003,$8,097.02,$438,227.77,$707,200,$7,458,824.00,0.1949,2004,$11,823.07,$593,325.58,$833,213,$9,081,466.00,0.2172,2005,$16,594.45,$761,953.41,$905,051,$10,359,677.00,0.2493,2006,$22,373.09,$968,935.60,$1,003,149,$11,983,856.00,0.2758,2007,$31,810.26,$1,220,059.67,$1,172,949,$13,827,071.00,0.3074,2008,$39,273.46,$1,430,693.07,$1,228,762,$15,970,882.00,0.3568,2009,$27,931.28,$1,201,646.76,$843,307,$12,383,260.00,0.3413,2010,$38,397.96,$1,577,76375,$1,076,378,$15,075,181.00,0.3409,2011,$49,539.45,$1,898,388.43,$1,263,743,$18,013,288.00,0.3720,2012,$55,117.13,$2,048,782.23,$1,281,547,$18,013,778.00,0.3781,中国车辆及其零附件（铁道车辆除外，,HS87,）,RCA,0.8,资料来源：根据,UN Comtrade,数据库和,TableA2012,数据整理计算所得,，下同,。,5,2.,显示性竞争优势指数,（,Competitive Advantage,，,CA,）,出口,进口,6Year,CM,87,CM,all,WM,87,WM,all,RCA,87,CA,87,2000,$3,612.12,$225,093.73,$563,103,$6,521,537.00,0.2088,0.0230,2001,$4,531.52,$243,552.88,$563,621,$6,299,096.00,0.1994,-0.0085,2002,$6,473.91,$295,170.10,$566,671,$6,535,814.00,0.1953,-0.0577,2003,$11,786.51,$412,759.80,$712,003,$7,615,974.00,0.1949,-0.1106,2004,$13,102.35,$561,228.75,$838,750,$9,308,915.00,0.2172,-0.0419,2005,$12,309.09,$659,952.76,$891,206,$10,609,539.00,0.2493,0.0273,2006,$17,051.80,$791,460.87,$1,001,657,$12,202,850.00,0.2758,0.0134,2007,$22,137.27,$956,115.45,$1,171,552,$14,048,764.00,0.3074,0.0297,2008,$26,962.79,$1,132,562.16,$1,208,933,$16,222,152.00,0.3568,0.0373,2009,$28,363.24,$1,005,555.23,$831,398,$12,484,949.00,0.3413,-0.0823,2010,$49,504.24,$1,396,001.57,$1,051,466,$15,166,974.00,0.3409,-0.1707,2011,$65,438.57,$1,743,394.87,$1,228,478,$18,086,740.00,0.3720,-0.1807,2012,$70,596.74,$1,818,199.23,$1,232,574,$18,139,613.00,0.3781,-0.1933,中国车辆及其零附件（铁道车辆除外，,HS87,）,CA,0,7,3.,贸易竞争力指数（,Trade Competitive Power Index,，,TCP,）,8,Year,CX87,CM87,X87C-K,M87C-K,TCP87,TCP,C-K,87,2000,$4,536.38,$3,612.12,$63,870,642,$113,515,980,0.1134,-0.2799,2001,$4,777.14,$4,531.52,$63,898,688,$170,148,524,0.0264,-0.4540,2002,$5,792.86,6,473.91,$111,811,793,$266,989,010,-0.0555,-0.4097,2003,$8,097.02,$11,786.51,$119,593,204,$960,610,764,-0.1856,-0.7786,2004,$11,823.07,$13,102.35,$172,776,582,$1,504,629,800,-0.0513,-0.7940,2005,$16,594.45,$12,309.09,$282,440,384,$2,091,365,079,0.1483,-0.7620,2006,$22,373.09,$17,051.80,$483,140,8302,115,153,944,0.1350,-0.6281,2007,$31,810.26,$22,137.27,$766,767,270,$2,069,864,202,0.1793,-0.4594,2008,$39,273.46,$26,962.79,$928,916,634,$2,036,081,334,0.1859,-0.3734,2009,$27,931.28,$28,363.24,$766,110,783,$2,402,965,161,-0.0077,-0.5165,2010,$38,397.96,$49,504.24,$1,101,697,623,$3,887,834,170,-0.1263,-0.5584,2011,$49,539.45,$65,438.57,$1,372,362,180,$4,988,400,137,-0.1383,-0.5685,2012,$55,117.13,$70,596.74,$1,305,796,732,$4,446,893,238,-0.1231,-0.5460,中国车辆及其零附件（铁道车辆除外，,HS87,）,TCP,0,9,4.,出口产品质量升级指数,Period,Trade Value,Trade Quantity,出口产品质量升级指数,2000,$7,937,107,26,711,2001,$5,552,561,17,739,10534,2002,$3,174,307,10,957,0.9750,2003,$2,887,343,9,397,1.0340,2004,$1,958,666,6,137,1.0741,2005,$2,040,483,6,927,0.9913,2006,$1,368,298,4,282,1.0754,2007,$1,210,872,3,721,1.0951,2008,$985,833,2,825,1.1744,2009,$4,580,365,12,736,1.2103,2010,$10,526,244,28,382,1.2481,2011,$6,768,467,14,380,1.5840,2012,$1,724,184,3,569,1.6258,2013,$6,656,447,13,128,1.7064,中国原木（,HS4403,）出口产品质量升级指数,10,国际市场占有率,是一国出口总额占世界出口总额的比例，反映一国出口的整体竞争力，即：,市场渗透率,是,一国产品出口在,另一,国总进口中所占的比例，即：,式中，,X,i,为一国,i,产品在,另一,国,（,地区,）,的出口额，,M,i,*,为,i,产品在,另一,国的总进口额。,市场渗透率,作为国际市场占有率的补充，从出口国的角度反映其产品在其进口国市场上的占有率。,5.,国际市场占有率,&,市场渗透率,11,中国车辆及其零附件（铁道车辆除外，,HS87,）,市场,占有率、,渗透率,Year,CX,87,WX,87,X,87,C-K,KM,87,市场占有率,中国在韩国市场渗透率,2000,$4,536.38,$554,163,$63.87,$1,631.26,0.82%,3.92%,2001,$4,777.14,$550,714,$63.90,$1,804.87,0.87%,3.54%,2002,$5,792.86,$583,946,$111.81,$2,644.37,0.99%,4.23%,2003,$8,097.02,$707,200,$119.59,$3,175.27,1.14%,3.77%,2004,$11,823.07,$833,213,$172.78,$3,584.94,1.42%,4.82%,2005,$16,594.45,$905,051,$282.44,$4,193.17,1.83%,6.74%,2006,$22,373.09,$1,003,149,$483.14,$5,242.00,2.23%,9.22%,2007,$31,810.26,$1,172,949,$766.77,$6,658.60,2.71%,11.52%,2008,$39,273.46,$1,228,762,$928.92,$7,180.81,3.20%,12.94%,2009,$27,931.28,$843,307,$766.11,$5,516.33,3.31%,13.89%,2010,$38,397.96,$1,076,378,$1,101.70,$7,867.15,3.57%,14.00%,2011,$49,539.45,$1,263,743,$1,372.36,$9,149.99,3.92%,15.00%,2012,$55,117.13,$1,281,547,$1,305.80,$9,347.25,4.30%,13.97%,12,出口贡献率,为某产品出口占该国总出口的比例，即,：,C,i,=X,i,/X,X,i,为,i,产品的出口额，,X,为该国总出口额。,C,i,值越大该产品或产业的贡献越大。,6.,出口贡献率,&,出口增长优势指数,出口增长优势指数,为某产品出口增长率与总的贸易增长率之比，反映产品出口优势的变化情况，即：,D,i,=(g,i,一,g,t,),100,g,i,为,某一时期,产品或产业的出口增长率，,g,t,为,该,一时期整个出口的增长率。,D,i,越大说明,i,产品或产业的出口增长越快。,13,Year,CX87,CX,all,CM,all,出口贡献率,出口增长优势,2000,$4,536.38,$249,202.55,$225,093.73,1.82%,2001,$4,777.14,$266,098.21,$243,552.88,1.80%,71.1992,2002,$5,792.86,$325,595.97,$295,170.10,1.78%,97.5229,2003,$8,097.02,$438,227.77,$412,759.80,1.85%,107.2508,2004,$11,823.07,$593,325.58,$561,228.75,1.99%,129.0008,2005,$16,594.45,$761,953.41,$659,952.76,2.18%,174.2791,2006,$22,373.09,$968,935.60,$791,460.87,2.31%,146.2810,2007,$31,810.26,$1,220,059.67,$956,115.45,2.61%,178.5929,2008,$39,273.46,$1,430,693.07,$1,132,562.16,2.75%,131.9017,2009,$27,931.28,$1,201,646.76,$1,005,555.23,2.32%,207.9094,2010,$38,397.96,$1,577,763.75,$1,396,001.57,2.43%,107.8977,2011,$49,539.45,$1,898,388.43,$1,743,394.87,2.61%,129.1675,2012,$55,117.13,$2,048,782.23,$1,818,199.23,2.69%,182.0757,中国车辆及其零附件（铁道车辆除外，,HS87,）,出口贡献率,、,出口增长优势指数,14,