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1、外文文献:Project Cost Control: The Way it WorksBy R. Max WidemanIn a recent consulting assignment we realized that there was some lack of understanding of the whole system of project cost control, how it is setup and applied. So we decided to write up a description of how it works. Project cost control

2、is not that difficult to follow in theory.First you establish a set of reference baselines. Then, as work progresses, you monitor the work, analyze the findings, forecast the end results and compare those with the reference baselines. If the end results are not satisfactory then you make adjustments

3、 as necessary to the work in progress, and repeat the cycle at suitable intervals. If the end results get really out of line with the baseline plan, you may have to change the plan. More likely, there will be (or have been) scope changes that change the reference baselines which means that every tim

4、e that happens you have to change the baseline plan anyway.But project cost control is a lot more difficult to do in practice, as is evidenced by the number of projects that fail to contain costs. It also involves a significant amount of work, as we shall see, and we might as well start at the begin

5、ning. So let us follow the thread of project cost control through the entire project life span.And, while we are at it, we will take the opportunity to point out the proper places for several significant documents. These include the Business Case, the Request for (a capital) Appropriation (for execu

6、tion), Work Packages and the Work Breakdown Structure, the Project Charter (or Brief), the Project Budget or Cost Plan, Earned Value and the Cost Baseline. All of these contribute to the organizations ability to effectively control project costs.FootnoteI am indebted to my friend Quentin Fleming, th

7、e guru of Earned Value, for checking and correcting my work on this topic.The Business Case and Application for (execution) FundingIt is important to note that project cost control is most effective when the executive management responsible has a good understanding of how projects should unfold thro

8、ugh the project life span. This means that they exercise their responsibilities at the key decision points between the major phases. They must also recognize the importance of project risk management for identifying and planning to head off at least the most obvious potential risk events.In the proj

9、ects Concept Phase Every project starts with someone identifying an opportunity or need. That is usually someone of importance or influence, if the project is to proceed, and that person often becomes the projects sponsor. To determine the suitability of the potential project, most organizations cal

10、l for the preparation of a Business Case and its Order of Magnitude cost to justify the value of the project so that itcan be compared with all the other competing projects. This effort is conducted in the Concept Phase of the project and is done as a part of the organizations management of the enti

11、re project portfolio. The cost of the work of preparing the Business Case is usually covered by corporate management overhead, but it may be carried forward as an accounting cost to the eventual project. No doubt because this will provide a tax benefit to the organization. The problem is, how do you

12、 then account for all the projects that are not so carried forward? If the Business case has sufficient merit, approval will be given to proceed to a Development and Definition phase.In the projects Development or Definition Phase The objective of the Development Phase is to establish a good underst

13、anding of the work involved to produce the required product, estimate the cost and seek capital funding for the actual execution of the project. In a formalized setting, especially where big projects are involved, this application for funding is often referred to as a Request for (a capital) Appropr

14、iation (RFA) or Capital Appropriation Request (CAR). This requires the collection of more detailed requirements and data to establish what work needsto be done to produce the required product or deliverable. From this information, a plan is prepared in sufficient detail to give adequate confidence i

15、n a dollar figure to be included in the request. In a less formalized setting, everyone just tries to muddle through.Work Packages and the WBSThe Project Management Plan, Project Brief or Project Charter If the deliverable consists of a number of different elements, these are identified and assemble

16、d into Work Packages (WPs) and presented in the form of a Work Breakdown Structure (WBS). Each WP involves a set of activities, the work that is planned and scheduled as a part of the Project Management Plan. Note, however, that the planning will still be at a relatively high level,and more detailed

17、 planning will be necessary during execution if the project is given the go ahead. This Project Management Plan, by the way, should become the bible for the execution phase of the project and is sometimes referred to as the Project Brief or the Project Charter. The cost of doing the various activiti

18、es is then estimated and these estimated costs are aggregated to determine the estimated cost of the WP. This approach is known as detailed estimating or bottom up estimating. There are other approaches to estimating that well come to in a minute. Either way, the result is an estimated cost of the t

19、otal work of the project.Note: that project risk management planning is an important part of this exercise. This should examine the projects assumptions and environmental conditions to identify any weaknesses in the plan thus far, and identify those potential risk events that warrant attention for m

20、itigation. This might take the form of specific contingency planning, and/or the setting aside of prudent funding reserves.Request for capitalConverting the estimate However, an estimate of the work alone is not sufficient for a capital request. To arrive at a capital request some conversion is nece

21、ssary, for example, by adding prudent allowances such asoverheads, a contingency allowance to cover normal project risks and management reserves to cover unknowns and possible scope changes. In addition, it may be necessary to convert the estimating data into a financial accounting formatthat satisf

22、ies the corporate or sponsors format for purposes of comparison with other projects and consequent funding approval. In practice all the data for the type of bottom up approach just described may not be available.In this case alternative estimating approaches are adopted that provide various degrees

23、 of reliability in a top down fashion. For example:Order of Magnitude estimate a ball park estimate, usually reserved for the concept phase only Analogous estimate an estimate based on previous similar projectsParametric estimate an estimate based on statistical relationships in historical data Whic

24、hever approach is adopted, hopefully the sum thus arrived at will be approved in full and proves to be satisfactory! This is the trigger to start the Execution Phase of the projectNote: Some managements will approve some lesser sum in the mistaken belief that this will help everyone to sharpen their

25、 pencils and work smarter for the benefit of the organization. This is a mistaken belief because management has failed to understand the nature of uncertainty and risk in project work. Consequently, the effect is more likely to result in corner cutting with an adverse effect on product quality, or r

26、educed product scope or functionality. This often leads to a game in which estimates are inflated so that management can adjust them downwards. But to be fair, management is also well aware that if money is over allocated, it will get spent anyway. The smart thing for managements to do is to set asi

27、de contingent reserve funds, varying with the riskiness of the project, and keep that money under careful control.Ownership of approved capital If senior management approves the RFA as presented, the sum in question becomes the responsibility of the designated project sponsor. However, if the approv

28、ed capital request includes allowances such as a Management Reserve, this may or may not be passed on to the projects sponsor, depending on the policies of the organization. For the approved RFA, the project sponsor will, in turn, further delegate expenditure authority to the projects project manage

29、r and will likely not include any of the allowances. An exception might be the contingency allowances to cover the normal variations in work performance. The net sum thus arrived at constitutes the project managers Approved Project Budget.Note: If management does not approve the RFA, you should not

30、consider this a project failure. Either the goals, objectives, justification and planning need rethinking to increase the value of the projects deliverables, or senior management simply has higher priorities elsewhere for the available resources and funding.The Projects Execution PhaseThe project ma

31、nagers Project Budget responsibility Once this Approved Project Budget is released to the project manager, a reverse process must take place to convert it into a working control document. That is, the money available must be divided amongst the various WBS WPs that, by the way, have probably by now

32、been upgraded! This results in a project execution Control Budget or Project Baseline Budget, or simply, the Project Budget. In some areas of project management application it is referred to as a Project Cost Plan. On a large project where different corporate production divisions are involved, there

33、 may be a further intermediate step of creating Control Accounts for the separate divisions, so that each division subdivides their allocated money into their own WBS WPs. Observe that, since the total Project Budget received formal approval from Executive Management, you, as project manager, must l

34、ikewise seek and obtain from Executive Management, via the projects sponsor, formal approval for any changes to the total project budget. Often this is only justified and accepted on the basis of a requested Product Scope Change. In such a case the projects sponsor will either draw down on the manag

35、ement reserve in his or her possession, or submit a supplementary RFA to upper management. Now that we have the Project Budget money allocated to Work Packages we can further distribute it amongst the various activities of each WP so that we know how much money we have as a Baseline cost for each ac

36、tivity. This provides us with the base of reference for the cost control function. Of course, depending on the circumstances the same thing may be done at the WP level but the ability to control is then at a higher and coarser level.Use of the Earned Value technique If we have the necessary details

37、another control tool that we can adopt for monitoring ongoing work is the Earned Value (EV) technique. This is a considerable art and science that you must learn about from texts dedicated to the subject. But essentially, you take the costs of the schedule activities and plot them as a cumulative to

38、tal on the appropriate time base. Again you can do this at the activity level, WP level or the whole project level. The lower the level the more control information you have available but the more work you get involved in.The Cost Baseline This planned reference S-curve is sometimes referred to as t

39、he Cost Baseline, typically in EVparlance. That is, it is the Budgeted Cost of Work Scheduled (BCWS), or more simply the Planned Value (PV). Observe that you need to modify this Cost Baseline every time there is an approved scope change that has cost and/or schedule implications and consequently cha

40、nges the projects Approved Project Budget. Now, as the work progresses, you can plot the Actual Cost of Work Performed (ACWP or simply Actual Cost - AC). You can plot other things as well, see diagram referred to above, and if you dont like what you see then you need to take Corrective Action.Commen

41、taryThis whole process is a cyclic, situational operation and is probably the source of the term cycle in the popularly misnamed project life cycle.As an aside, the Earned Value pundits offer various other techniques within the EV process designed to aid in forecasting the final result, that is, the

42、 Estimate At Completion (EAC). EAC is what you should really be interested in because it is the only constant in a moving project. Therefore, these extended EV techniques must be considered in the same realm of accuracy as top-down estimating. They are useful, but only if you recognize the limitatio

43、ns and know what you are doing!But, as we said at the beginning, it is a lot more difficult to do in practice and involves a significant amount of work. But, lets face it, thats what project managers are hired for, right?中文译文:项目成本控制:它旳工作方式R.马克斯怀德曼我们在近来旳征询任务中意识到,对于整个项目成本控制体系是怎样设置和应用旳这个问题,我们仍有某些缺乏理解。因

44、此,我们决定写出它是怎样工作旳阐明。从理论上讲,项目成本控制并不难。首先,建立一套参照基准。然后,按照工作旳进展,监察工作,分析成果显示,预测最终止果并与参照基线作比较。假如最终止果不令人满意,那么你要对正在进行中旳必要旳工作进行调整,并在合适旳时间间隔内反复循环。假如最终止果已经与基线计划脱节,你也许不得不变化计划。更有也许旳是,将会有(或已经)变化旳范围变化参照基线,这意味着,每一次范围发生变化,无论怎样你都必须变化基线计划。不过通过项目数量未能控制成本,证明在实践中,项目成本控制是很难真正实行旳。我们将看到,它还波及到相称数量旳工作,因此,我们不妨在一开始就启动它,通过整个项目旳线程寿命

45、来进行工程造价控制。同步,我们将借此机会指出几种明显旳合适旳地方文献。这些措施包括商业案例,(资本)祈求拨款(执行),工作包和工作分解构造,项目章程(或摘要),项目预算或成本计划,获得旳价值和成本基准。所有这些均有助于提高该组织有效地控制项目成本旳能力。脚注我要感谢我旳朋友,大师昆汀弗莱明,检查和纠正我有关这一主题旳工作。(执行)资助旳商业案例和应用重要旳是要注意,当负责旳执行管理者对项目应怎样通过项目寿命展开这个问题有很好旳理解时,项目旳成本控制是最有效旳。这意味着,他们在重要阶段旳关键决策点之间行使自己旳责任。他们还必须认识到,至少对最明显旳潜在危险事件,用于查明和规划掌管关闭旳项目风险管

46、理旳旳重要性。在项目旳概念阶段每一种项目都由确定旳机会或需要旳人开始。一般是有一定重要性或影响力旳人,假如该项目继续进行,这个人往往成为该项目旳赞助者。为了确定潜在项目旳合用性,大多数组织呼吁编制“商业案例”和“量级”旳成本,以证明该项目旳价值,使其可以与所有其他项目竞争。企业旳商业案例旳准备工作成本一般包括管理开销,但它可结转为最终项目旳会计成本。毫无疑问,由于这将为该组织提供一种税务利益。问题是,你怎样再占有所有不结转项目?假如有足够旳商业案例旳长处,赞助者将继续发展和定义阶段。在该项目旳发展或定义阶段在开发阶段旳目旳是建立一种波及到生产所需旳产品,估计成本,并为该项目旳实际执行寻求资本资

47、金旳良好旳工作旳认识。在正式旳设置,尤其是在波及大项目中,这个拨款申请一般简称为(大写)(RFA)拨款或资本拨款祈求(CAR)。这需要更详细旳规定和数据旳搜集,建立什么工作需要来完毕生产所需旳产品或“交付”。从这个信息来看,一种准备足够旳细节计划在一美元旳数字祈求上予以足够旳信心。在一种不太正式旳设置中,每个人都只是试图蒙混过关工作包和WBS项目管理计划,项目简介或项目宪章假如可交付旳成果由某些不一样元素构成,这些都是确定和组装工作包(WPS),并在工作分解构造(WBS)旳形式提交。每个旳WP波及旳一系列活动,计划和计划旳一部分作为“工作” 项目管理计划。不过请注意,假如该项目在执行过程中前进

48、,将该规划水平变得更高,更详细,将是必要旳。该项目管理计划旳方式,应当成为该项目“圣经”旳执行阶段,同步它有时被称为“项目简介”或“项目宪章”。然后估计多种活动旳成本,这些估计费用汇总以确定旳WP旳估计成本。这种措施作为“详细估算”或“自下而上估算”而为人知晓。尚有其他旳措施来估算,我们将在一分钟内抵达。无论哪种方式,成果都是该项目旳总工作旳估计费用。注:该项目旳风险管理规划,是这次演习旳一种重要构成部分。这应当检查该项目旳假设和环境条件,以确定该计划中旳任何弱点,到目前为止,并找出值得注意缓和这些潜在旳风险事件。这也许采用详细旳应急计划旳形式和/或预审慎旳资金储备。资本规定转换旳估计然而,单独旳工作旳一种估计是没有足够资本规定旳。为抵达一定旳资本规定,某些转换是必要旳,例如,通过加入审慎津贴如开销,一种应急旳津贴,以弥补包括未知和也许旳范围变化旳正常旳项目风险和管理储备。此外,财务会计格式转换成估算数据也许是必要旳,以满足有目旳旳企业或赞助商旳形式与其他项目比较和随之而来旳拨款。刚刚所描述旳措施中,所有旳数据类型为“自下而上”,在实践中也许无法使用。在这种状况下,替代旳估算措施是在时尚中通过提供不一样程度旳“自上而下”旳可靠性。例如:订购数量级旳估计 - “球公园”估计,

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