工程项目管理-英文课件-RiskManagement.ppt.ppt

Project ManagementProject Risk ManagementJiwei MaContentoConceptsoRisk IdentificationoRisk AssessmentoRisk ControlConceptoRisknThe possibility of loss,damage,or any other undesirable eventoProject RisknAny loss,damage,or undesirable event that may impact the project to be accomplished on time,under budget,and to required quality standardoProject Risk ManagementnEffort in project management to reduce the occurrence possibility,minimize the impact of project risks,and assure the success of the projectRisk IdentificationoTo locate and identify the potential risks existing within the system or in the environmentoMethodsnPrevious statistical datanPrevious experiencenSurveynBrainstormnProject Risk IdentificationoMethodsnSurvey or brainstormoApplicable for small projectnSystematic approachoComponent analysisoProcess analysisoParticipant analysisoProject objective analysisoProject environmentRisk AssessmentoConceptnA scientifically based process of evaluating risks and the likelihood of exposure to those risks,and then estimating the resulting impactoMethodologiesnQualitativeoTo distinguish risks as high,medium and low levelnSemi-quantitativeoTo prioritize risks in relation to one anothernQuantitativeoTo measure,calculate and analyze the value of risks and the impactRisk AssessmentoBasic procedurenTo clarify the risks which have significant or measurable impacts on projectnTo analyze the consequences of the risks occurrencenTo evaluate the severity of the impact caused by the risknTo prioritize risks by calculating risk impact,and then formulate possible improvements or preventive measuresRisk Assessment TechniquesoFault tree analysisnUsed to identify the causal relationships leading to the undesirable eventnBased on deductive logicnCan be qualitative or quantitativeRisk Assessment TechniquesoEvent tree analysisnUsed to illustrate the sequence of the outcome after the occurrence of a selected initial eventnBased on inductive logicnMainly used in consequence analysisRisk Assessment TechniquesoCause-consequence analysisnA blend of fault tree and event tree analysisnBased on both deductive and inductive logicnThe risk level of the system can be established by calculating probabilities of various consequences with the probabilities of various eventsRisk Assessment TechniquesoFrequency/severity diagramnUsed to evaluate the impact of risks and prioritize the preventive measuresnBased on consequence evaluation and probability calculationnCan be semi-quantitative or quantitativenRisk value=Severity x FrequencyMediumSeverityFrequencyLowHighLowMediumHighRisk ControloTo identify,select,and implement measures that can be applied to reduce the risk identified and evaluated during the previous phasesoMeasuresnTo avoid risknTo remove/reallocate risknTo share risknTo reduce risknTo mitigate damage caused by riskConstruction Project RisksoList of risksnPlanning and selection risksnContract formation risksnEntity formation risksnEntity management risksnSite risksnResource risksnEnvironmental risksnTechnology risksnCommunication risksnExpectation risksConstruction Project RisksoList of risksnFinancial risksnCompletion risks(cost)nCompletion risks(time)nCompletion risks(quality)nPayment risksnProject administration risksnForce majeure risksnPolitical risksnCurrency risksConstruction Project Risk ControloMajor measuresnImproved procurement method to minimize implementation risksnSafety programs to reduce on-site accidentsnStrict construction measurements to confine environmental hazardsnVarious insurance to reallocate risksnBond company involved to share risks with owner and contractorConstruction Project Risk ControloImproved procurement methodnPerformance based procurementnConstruction management/management contractingnContractor prequalification in competitive bidnContract negotiation after bid openingnPartnering or building long-term relationshipConstruction Project Risk ControloSafety programsnOn-site safety management program including owner,contractor,sub contractor,etc.nRegulatory safety control by government bodiesnSafety control and education by professional organizations,i.e.OSHA,BG,HSC,etc.Construction Project Risk ControloInsurancenContractors liability insuranceoWorkers compensationoEmployers liabilityoCommercial general liabilityoAutomobile liabilitynOwners liability insuranceoUsually general liability insurancenManagement protective liability insuranceoProfessional liability insurancenProperty insuranceoProject owners obligationConstruction Project Risk ControloBondnTypes of bondoBid bondoPerformance bondoPayment bondonImpact of bondoContractor classification and prequalificationoReview of contractors financial sustainabilityoAssurance of contractors performance and behaviorThank YouJiwei M 个人道德素养个人道德素养 做好個人道德素養；不要因為貪小便宜，貪一時方便而不顧道德品行丟失把人格尊嚴都降低了。因為一個人把道德品質丟失了，再想建立起來將是萬分的困難。所以每個人都應該尊首道德底線，不應敗壞基本道德品質。以下是公司裡面出現的不好的現象：1、厕所紙巾偷到宿舍去用2、車間應急藥箱裡面的藥偷走（偷盜行為可恥）以下是公司裡面出現的不好的現象：1、公共场所随意扔垃圾2、電視房垃圾亂丟以下是公司裡面出現的不好的現象：恶意损坏公共财物以下是公司裡面出現的不好的現象：吃饭不要浪废食物道德與生活道德與生活從字義看兩者的意義與差別:1、倫理的意義倫理的意義:倫類別、關係；理紋理、道理。倫理人類社會裡種種身分間合理的關係，行為分際(做人要守本分做人要守本分)。(哪些人際關係、身分)2、道德的意義道德的意義:道道路、道理；德獲得。道德走人走的道路，便可獲得人的待遇。(不走捷徑、不誤入歧途尊嚴、榮譽)人道人道 (ps.如何批評一個人罔顧為人?)道德與生活道德與生活1、利己利己:理性認識到遵守規範有利於己。(奸商/信譽商人)2、利人利人:追求人性中的真、善、美。(崇高的可能性)。(愛人者人恆愛之，敬人者人恆敬之；德不孤必有鄰。)(典範在夙昔-林靖娟、鐵達尼號的樂師、德雷莎修女、史懷德.)3、利己利人利己利人:兼顧自我理想與社會進步。Bill Gates?不做”損人利己”之事。Ps.回想郭爾堡的道德認知理論、馬斯洛的需求層次理論。o-THE END-